Agile Data & Resilience
Time
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The hypothesis testing wanted to verify whether farmers with higher resilience capacities were the ones facing higher recovery ability. Therefore COSA built a novel resilience conceptual framework for this project. In particular, COSA used a Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) framework for resilience programming interventions, following a Theory of Change approach (ToC) proposed by Béné et al. (2015; 2017) and USAID (2018). In this framework COSA combined two measures of resilience that are usually considered alternative measures of resilience by the literature. In particular, COSA considered resilience capacities resulting from the program activities (i.e. outputs) which represent the resilience intermediate outcome as in the literature (Béné et al. 2015; 2017; USAID 2018; Constas et al. 2014). This resilience intermediate outcome was measured through a Resilience Capacities Index. Further COSA introduced another resilience outcome in the framework, often considered as an independent measure of resilience, the recovery ability. This outcome constituted the resilience response outcome, and it was captured by the IFAD’s Resilience Ability to Recover Index.

To determine the optimal sample size, COSA applied simple random sampling to estimate a proportion within each state with a 95% confidence interval and a 5% margin of error. The optimal sample size accounts for a 15% non-response rate (87 farmers). The non-response rate was set to 15% due to previous experience with CATI surveys in Uganda, Malawi, and Zimbabwe.

Cotton farmers were interviewed using CATI (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviews).
Resilience is the ability of individuals, households, and communities to prevent, resist, absorb, adapt, respond and recover positively, efficiently and effectively when faced with a wide range of risks, while maintaining an acceptable level of functioning without compromising long-term prospects for sustainable development, peace and security, human rights and well-being for all.
UN(2020)
The Resilience Ability to Recover Index (ATR) is a resilience measure adopted by IFAD (2015). The Ability to Recover Index is easily measured through farmers’ self-assessment of their perceived ability to recover from shocks.
The ATR index is the mean value of respondents’ responses across all shocks experienced. The variable “incidence of experience” for each shock is equal to 1 if the shock was experienced, and 0 if not.

Business development involves strategies and activities aimed at enhancing their economic viability and market presence.

Productivity refers to the efficiency and effectiveness with which resources are utilized to produce crops. It encompasses various indicators that measure the output relative to inputs used.

Producer livelihood refers to the means in which a producer earns a living and sustains their well-being. This includes economic indicators on their diversification of income.

The right data drives clear insights
COSA indicators are recognized for their practicality, precision, and ease of adoption, providing managers and researchers with clarity while minimizing data costs. Proven globally, these credible indicators are tested across thousands of applications, delivering science-based data on sustainability.